Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.765645 0.897181 1.039276 1.203565 1.387631 1.586855 1.818128
2025-08-31 0.535606 0.713435 0.924489 1.190336 1.512949 1.888402 2.354784
2025-09-07 0.410205 0.613965 0.876801 1.232786 1.693750 2.261568 3.004021
2025-09-14 0.319620 0.533619 0.831485 1.261471 1.849779 2.609156 3.643782
2025-09-21 0.240483 0.448232 0.759851 1.237709 1.925450 2.851121 4.158577
2025-09-28 0.194922 0.401303 0.731964 1.265840 2.067149 3.182926 4.804756
2025-10-05 0.159458 0.361620 0.706456 1.290327 2.200446 3.506321 5.452419
2025-10-12 0.131012 0.326873 0.681775 1.310113 2.324145 3.819038 6.096849
2025-10-19 0.105022 0.289717 0.645839 1.305116 2.405883 4.071527 6.663721
2025-10-26 0.081483 0.250670 0.599059 1.274343 2.441144 4.252976 7.131663
2025-11-02 0.066606 0.226501 0.575733 1.280336 2.534015 4.523671 7.739914
2025-11-09 0.050863 0.194771 0.531188 1.241207 2.546000 4.666427 8.158246
2025-11-16 0.041248 0.176329 0.512053 1.249171 2.641976 4.951443 8.814349
2025-11-23 0.032476 0.156833 0.486959 1.242472 2.711551 5.197880 9.422519
2025-11-30 0.028027 0.149318 0.488376 1.289366 2.880894 5.615881 10.317357
2025-12-07 0.023541 0.139665 0.482676 1.320358 3.022279 5.992892 11.159932
2025-12-14 0.017844 0.122207 0.453238 1.296255 3.057047 6.189783 11.717617
2025-12-21 0.014920 0.114543 0.448352 1.325650 3.195958 6.570515 12.587542
2025-12-28 0.012372 0.107005 0.442202 1.351138 3.328170 6.944182 13.457042
2026-01-04 0.010143 0.099486 0.434450 1.371693 3.451192 7.305771 14.316900
2026-01-11 0.007847 0.089589 0.417018 1.366530 3.520829 7.573950 15.026892
2026-01-18 0.005654 0.077822 0.390335 1.334627 3.531942 7.735536 15.559360
2026-01-25 0.004410 0.071171 0.379197 1.340844 3.623289 8.046607 16.356586